John Carmack's Opinion On What We Should Do Next

02/03/03 00:00:00    

By Michael Mealling

While I'm sure Rand would disagree with the premise of the question, a thread on aRocket called “Shuttle 2.0” has elicited a comment from John Carmack of Armadillo Aerospace on just what we should do to replace the shuttle.

From: John Carmack
Subject: Re: [AR] Shuttle 2.0
To: AROCKET

At 09:26 PM 2/3/2003 -0600, you wrote:

Aaron Smith wrote:

Whaddy'all think?

  1. Continue to operate the remaining orbiters.
  2. Accelerate development of a replacement, IMO a 2 stage with flyback booster.
  3. Develop a 'Shuttle-C', launched unmanned. (4 SRB's, SSME module under tank that recovers, cargo pod on top of tank. Payload capacity would exceed 100 MT.)

Tom

Make a tiny little RLV that can carry either a single person, or about 300lb of supplies. Fly it to ISS every day. Daily launches would completely change the way space flight operations are done -- things wouldn't need to be planned out down to the last degree, because you could always send another part up tomorrow, or even send up the appropriate expert the situation demanded. A "storm shelter" instead of a CRV is also a lot more credible if you know that you could shuffle everyone down in fairly short order.

Let them figure out how to break experiments into 300lb chunks if necessary. It would be worth it. New modules and such could still go up on ELVs.

A 300lb payload RLV is only a 15 ton (fueled) vehicle, and I just can't see it being a budget-buster to develop. Give us about five more years, and I'll quote you a price. :-)

John Carmack www.armadilloaerospace.com


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